The government said growth was likely to slow to 5

Is Sri Lanka about to finish off the Tamil Tigers

(Reuters) Sri Lankan troops on Friday handed the Tamil Tiger rebels their second major canada goose store defeat in a week, capturing the strategic Elephant Pass, the president said.

That comes a week after the army drove the separatist guerrillas from their self proclaimed capital of Kilinochchi, an event that had many canada goose clearance sale asking if the quarter century war is over. Not yet, but here are some scenarios of what could happen:

canada goose outlet nyc FONSEKA MARCH TO THE uk canada goose outlet SEA: With Kilinochchi and the entire Jaffna Peninsula now in army hands, the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) are confined canada goose outlet to a fast shrinking wedge of northeastern Sri Lanka of about 330 square km (127 sq miles). canada goose outlet nyc

The military and analysts say the Tigers are shifting their heavy weapons and toughest fighters to the eastern port of Mullaittivu for a final stand.

goose outlet canada With Elephant Pass back in army hands, the A 9 highway is now open for a mechanised division to join the units converging on Mullaittivu from all sides. civil war Major General canada goose uk shop William uk canada goose Tecumseh Sherman made the Confederate army surrender by forcing them to all but jump in the sea at Savannah, Georgia, army commander Lt Gen. Sarath Fonseka plans to do the same to the Tigers at Mullaittivu. goose outlet canada

canada goose outlet toronto factory Since the Tigers wear vials of cyanide around their neck in case of canada goose coats capture, surrender seems unlikely. canada goose outlet toronto factory

canada goose outlet sale ARE THE TIGERS NOW TOOTHLESS? Many analysts say the rebels are down to around 2,000 capable fighters and have little future as a conventional force. canada goose outlet sale

The military is now much better equipped and trained than in the canada goose coats on sale past, has President Mahinda Rajapaksa full backing and experienced, confident leadership in the form of his brother, Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajaksa, and Fonseka. Both are combat veterans who fought on each other flank earlier in the war.

canada goose outlet new york city The LTTE still can carry out suicide bombings in the capital Colombo, canada goose black friday sale and is blamed for one right after Kilinochchi fall. canada goose outlet new york city

canada goose outlet uk Many fear more Canada Goose online of the same. Fonseka has said he expects the hardest core of the Tigers to go underground and conduct hit and run attacks once the war nears its end. He also said the army is ready for that. canada goose outlet uk

canada goose outlet WHAT ABOUT CIVILIANS IN THE WAR ZONE? Aid agencies estimate there are Canada Goose Parka around 230,000 Tamil refugees in the shrinking war zone who are suffering without much shelter. canada goose Canada Goose Outlet outlet

canada goose outlet parka Rights groups accuse the Tigers of canada goose uk outlet forcibly conscripting them as fighters or labourers. The LTTE denies that. canada goose outlet parka

canada goose outlet store Many are afraid of government camps where they are scrutinised as potential LTTE sympathisers. Their presence could slow the offensive because the military has pledged no civilian casualties, keenly aware that too many could prompt India or other international powers to press a cease fire, as has happened in the past. cheap canada goose uk canada goose outlet store

canada goose outlet shop IS INDIA GOING TO INTERVENE? Not a chance. Despite protest from Tamil politicians in India, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has made it clear he has no plans to stop Rajapaksa war. canada goose outlet canada goose shop

official canada goose outlet Singh government lists the LTTE Canada Goose Jackets as a terrorist group. canadian goose jacket After buy canada goose jacket the Mumbai attacks by Islamist gunmen made terrorism a big issue in polls due by May, he is unlikely Canada Goose Coats On Sale to be the least bit sympathetic. official canada goose outlet

He and Rajapaksa have agreed that grievances of the Tamil people must be dealt with politically, a view shared and urged canada goose factory sale by much of the west.

DOES MILITARY SUCCESS MEAN EARLY ELECTIONS? Both the military and Rajapaksa canada goose uk black friday are riding high on the war. Signs of early polls abound: the election budget this year has been quadrupled, polls are set in two provinces in February and the main opposition United National Party (UNP) has assumed a campaign stance.

canada goose outlet reviews Allies say there are plenty of factors that will influence Rajapaksa decision on timing. He is aware that the UNP main criticism is the state of the $32 billion (20 billion pound) economy. canada goose outlet reviews

canada goose outlet in usa AND WHAT ABOUT THE ECONOMY? As predicted, both the Colombo http://www.canadagoosejacketoutlett.com Stock Exchange and the sliding rupee currency got a boost from Kilinochchi capture. canada goose outlet in usa

canada goose outlet online uk But they both went straight back to moving on their own fundamentals as they have throughout the quarter century war. canada goose outlet online uk

canada goose outlet jackets Both have recorded impressive performances in that time, but have been hampered in the last year by a gloomy macroeconomic climate. canada goose outlet jackets

Sri Lanka is suffering from expensive short term foreign debt, declining forex reserves and a high deficit. Key exports like tea and garments are also hit by the global slowdown.

Despite a sovereign rating cut last month, most analysts say default is unlikely. The government said growth was likely to slow to 5.0 5.5 percent this year.

IS ANY OF THAT A RISK TO RAJAPAKSA? Not really. His mainly rural power base has been largely shielded from economic woes through populist budgets and development projects.

canada goose outlet store uk Rajapaksa is also counting on a flood of post war reconstruction money to come in after fighting ends. canada goose outlet store uk

canada goose outlet online That could be complicated by two attacks on the media this week, which has infuriated many donor nations who have yet to apply the only real leverage they have money canada goose outlet online.